Diplomatic Interactions

Diplomatic Interactions

Economic Diplomacy of Iran and China: Capacities and Barriers to Cooperation in the Field of Energy, Based on the Theory of Mutual Dependence

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Associate Professor, Department of International Relations, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran.
2 PhD, Department of International Relations, Allameh Tabataba’i University, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
Introduction
With the world’s second-largest natural gas and fourth-largest oil reserves, Iran remains an attractive partner for energy-hungry China. Conversely, as the world’s largest oil importer, China seeks to diversify its energy sources to reduce reliance on the Strait of Malacca and mitigate geopolitical pressures from the West. This convergence of needs has fostered cooperation in projects such as the South Pars gas field development and the Iran-Pakistan-China pipeline. However, this partnership is shaped by asymmetrical interdependence: China plays a far more significant role in Iran’s foreign trade than vice versa, giving Beijing considerable bargaining power.
The main research question is: How can Iran’s economic and energy diplomacy create opportunities for bilateral cooperation that promote sustainable development and energy security in the face of Western hegemony?
The study proposes the development of transregional energy networks—including oil and gas transportation corridors, investment in refining infrastructure, and participation in multilateral energy initiatives—as potential paths forward. A mixed-methods approach combining qualitative analysis of diplomatic documents and joint statements with quantitative trade and investment data is employed.
Literature Review
In the article “China’s Energy Strategy – with an Emphasis on the Ukraine War and the Iran-Saudi Arabia Agreement,” the authors effectively analyze China’s energy diplomacy as a strategic tool for energy security and regional influence. The article’s strength lies in its macro-level perspective on the geopolitical-energy nexus (Shokri Rafsanjani, Mirzaei, and Amjadi, 2013).
 
Methodology
A mixed explanatory approach was used, combining qualitative and quantitative analyses to create a descriptive-analytical framework. This method leverages both empirical data and interpretive insights to assess the strategic dynamics of Iran–China energy cooperation.
Results
Iran–China energy relations can be analyzed through the lens of interdependence theory, rooted in the work of Robert Keohane and Joseph Nye. This framework suggests that complex economic and technological links create mutual dependencies that encourage both cooperation and competition. The bilateral relationship can be assessed across three dimensions: sensitivity, vulnerability, and asymmetry of dependence.
Discussion
Over the past two decades, Iran–China energy relations have evolved from basic oil exchanges into a multifaceted strategic partnership involving economic, political, and security dimensions. Economically, the relationship now includes investment across the energy value chain. While China’s involvement in Iran’s upstream oil and gas sectors has been inconsistent—largely due to international sanctions—it signals Beijing’s long-term strategic interest.
Iran has benefited by partially offsetting its economic vulnerability through diversification. However, in the gas sector, Iran has struggled to exploit its vast reserves due to technical and financial constraints. China has shown interest in projects such as Phase 11 of South Pars and proposed pipelines to Pakistan and China, but these have largely stalled due to sanctions and Iran’s financial limitations.
Geopolitically, Iran–China energy cooperation represents a broader challenge to Western financial dominance, particularly through efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar. Energy corridors that connect East and West—with Iran at their center—could reshape Eurasian geopolitics.
Conclusion
Iran–China cooperation in clean energy is unfolding amidst a complex array of opportunities and challenges. Rooted in mutual needs, it has the potential to serve as a model for South–South cooperation aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Yet, risks remain, particularly related to asymmetric dependence, sanctions, and Iran’s limited infrastructure.
Iran, with significant potential for solar and wind energy in its deserts and northern regions, could become a testing ground for Chinese green technology. Realizing this vision, however, requires overcoming international sanctions, upgrading domestic infrastructure, and reducing technological dependence on China.
China, as a global leader in clean energy equipment, must foster trust through knowledge transfer and equitable partnerships. Pilot projects such as the Sirjan solar plant and the Manjil wind farm have shown promise, but expanding this cooperation requires more balanced contractual frameworks. The underperformance of the highly publicized 25-year agreement suggests a disconnect between rhetoric and implementation.
From a broader perspective, this cooperation could yield regional and global benefits. Iran’s emergence as a green hydrogen hub could enhance its regional role, while China’s involvement would bolster its leadership in clean technology. Success, however, hinges on compliance with global environmental standards and coordination with international bodies like the UN Environment Programme. Sanction relief for green energy initiatives could also encourage multilateral investment.
The long-term success of this partnership will depend on both countries’ ability to balance national interests with global obligations. Iran must enhance its domestic legal and technological capacities, while China must clarify its investment roadmap and support workforce development. The establishment of a Joint Clean Energy Working Group, involving governmental, academic, and industrial stakeholders from both sides, could serve as a monitoring body to ensure mutual gains. Despite political fluctuations, wise management of this relationship can yield lasting benefits for energy security, environmental sustainability, and regional cooperation.
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